Is MSTR Going to the Moon?
Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) shares are up big in Q3 2026 so now everybody is cheering and saying that MSTR is going to the moon!
Some of my Youtube commenters are even repeating this mantra in my comment’s section:
While everyone is greedy, I am getting fearful and worry that MSTR shares could go down over the next several weeks.
4 Reasons Why MSTR Could Trade Lower
There are several key tailwinds coming up that could prevent MSTR stock from going to the moon because US stocks are already trading at all-time highs!
- Elevated Buffett Indicator: The Buffett Indicator is sitting at 244% and signals that the US stock market is extremely overvalued.
- Rising 10 Year Treasury Yields: The 10 Year treasury yield hit 5.1% for the first time in 19 years. and gives investors a reason to prefer holding cash right now. Yields haven’t been this high since 2007.
- Q4 US Midterm Election Crash: Bitcoin has been negative during the last 3 Q4 US midterm election years. Will the trend hold up? I’m predicting a major Bitcoin and MSTR crash leading up to the November 3rd 2026 midterm election vote. Read my article on MSTR and the US midterm elections for more insight.
- Shorter than Usual Bear Market Cycle: The average bear market lasts 1 year or ~364 days. It’s not October 5th 2026 yet so we don’t know what will happen over the next few weeks. Also, MSTR usually breaks out around 600+ days after the most recent bull market high but it’s only been 430 days so far.
The NASDAQ is trading at an all-time high during September, which is historically the worst month for stocks!
I’m feeling fearful while others are greedy at the moment. It doesn’t make sense to get overly bullish while all signs are pointing towards a sharp recover.
Bitcoin hasn’t traded below its realized price this cycle so this could be a major bull trap!
I won’t entertain the start of a bull market until MSTR breaks out over the 200 week EMA on the weekly chart.
We are still early so don’t worry too much. MSTR will hit $1,000+ in 2028 so just accumulate shares or sit on cash until the dust settles!
