Bitcoin May Never Fall Below Strategy’s Average Buy Price Again
Everyone thinks Bitcoin entered the next bull cycle back in Q3 2024 when BTC started pumping hard in late August.
If that’s true then Bitcoin may never fall below Strategy’s average buy price again!
Strategy (MSTR) Average Bitcoin Buy Price = $75,437
According to Strategy’s ledger, Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought all of its BTC holdings for ~$75,000 per Bitcoin.
That’s a pretty big support level for anyone who wants to buy Bitcoin at the moment.
What Are the Odds Bitcoin Falls Below Strategy’s Average Buy Price Again?
I believe there is a pretty decent chance that Bitcoin drops below $75,000 in Q4 2026 after the 2026 US Midterm Elections. I wrote a lengthy article on MSTR and the Midterm Elections explaining why Strategy stock tends to underperform after this key date.
According to Polymarket, there is a 30% chance that Bitcoin dips back down to $70,000. I didn’t see an exact prediction for $75,000 but Polymarket provides a bit of insight showing there is a decent chance we revisit Strategy’s average buy price before 2027.
