Where Will Strategy (MSTR) Stock Be in 5 Years?
“Where Will MSTR Be in 5 Years” is one of the most common questions I receive from subscribers.
MSTR stock is a funny thing when you HODL it for long enough. You tend to get used to all the volatility plus ups and downs.
That’s something no AI or trading bot can experience. Real life experience in the trechnes holding arguably one of the most volatile investments on the planet.
My MSTR 2031 Price Target Is…
| Scenario | Price Target |
|---|---|
| Bear Case | $1,400 |
| Base Case | $2,400 |
| Bull Case | $4,000 |
My bear, base, and bull case PTs for MSTR Stock
Many of my newsletter subscribers ask me where will MSTR stock be in 5 years? Let’s zoom out a bit and set a target goal of 2031 for analysis purposes. I’m looking 60 months into the future to figure out how this crazy company founded by Michael Saylor could perform in the next couple of years.
I normally give out concrete price targets on MSTR in my Youtube videos but will instead publish my bear, base, and bull cases to provide further context.
Bear Case – $1,400
$1,400 is the conservative 10x slightly bearish price target that makes sense if you believe share dilution will persist.
Annual Share dilution on the MSTR common stock has increased 25% each year on average since 2020 (per Strategy.com). If Michael Saylor doesn’t hold off on the MSTR ATM then Strategy stock won’t go to the moon anytime soon.
A clean 10x over the next 5 years sounds bearish but it could likely be the most realistic price prediction in this article.
Base Case – $2,400
Modest mNAV expansion is what could help MSTR stock 15x over the next 5 years.
Bull Case – $4,000
This is the most aggressive projection that uses Phong Le’s 2x BTC Per Share Goal in 7 years as the core of the price model.
Projected MSTR BTC Holdings – 1.4 Million BTC
Strategy has acquired 361 BTC every day on average since August 2020.
My estimate is that Strategy will HODL ~1.4 million BTC by 2031.
I’m using a simple math equation to reach this general target:
If Strategy remains consistent then Saylor could add an additional 658k BTC over the next 5 years. Just remember that the 2028 BTC halving will shrink the current block reward from 3.125 to 1.5625
Company Developments
Risk Factors
What This Means for Shareholders
Final Thoughts
